FII Data Analysis for 1- Jan

§  FIIs bought 503 contracts of Index Future (bought 5227 long contracts and 4724 short contracts were entered) with net OI increasing by 9951 contracts at same time Nifty lost 12.9 points and closed at 6304 (Spot)  Vs. 6291.10 (Spot) previous close.

§  Due to New year & Christmas holiday FII inflow in Indian market seen very less hence nifty seems very dull during the entire trading session.

§  Nifty spot has strong resistance at 6320 any close above this level nifty may test 6335 – 6360. Nifty has support at 6288 – 6270. 

Nifty & FII Data Analysis for 31st Dec. 2013

§  FIIs sold 1225 contracts of Index Future (bought 7588 long contracts and 2034 short contracts were entered) with net OI increasing by 9622 contracts at same time Nifty lost 22.7 points and closed at 6291.10 (Spot)  Vs. 6313.8 (Spot) previous close.

§  Nifty spot has strong resistance at 6320 any close above this level nifty may test 6360. Nifty has support at 6265 – 6220 

Short Term BUY SBBJ (BSE: 501061)

Analysis:

• Stock has made 52 week high of 501.95 (2^nd January 2013) & 52 week low of 307.20 (20^th Aug 2013)
• There is an intersection of two trendlines which are very unique in nature and suggest bullish bias.
• Momentum oscillators like RSI, stochastic and ADX suggest buy signal.
• As per MACD analysis there is a bullish crossover suggest positive signal. 

Strategy: - Buy & accumulate State Bank of Bikaner & Jaipur (SBBJ) 320-315 possible Target- 350 with stop below 308 on closing basis. (2-15 days)

FII Data Analysis for 24-Dec

§  FIIs bought 16492 contracts of Index Future (bought 10325 long contracts and 6167 short contracts were covered) with net OI increasing by 4158 contracts at same time Nifty gain 10.25 points and closed at 6284.5 (Spot)  Vs. 6274.25 (Spot) previous close.

§  FIIs covered the short positions from last two trading sessions and created longs at other end suggest minor bullish sentiment.

§  Nifty spot has strong resistance at 6310-6315 any close above this level may reason for short covering in nifty and also some fresh buying. Nifty has support at 6260 – 6220 

Is stoploss using for losing money or Risk managment?

Many a times you notices that you put stop loss in trade and stock just came down in case of buy trade & hit your stoploss and getting bounce back exact from your stoploss rate and you lose money. You feel so frustrated and then getting nervous because you lost money on that trade. Again on some other day you facing same thing and you lost money in that trade too. What is your feeling now? I just imagine what my Gujju trader’s reaction words at that time, “Maro j stopploss khava avyo” or “stoploss mukiye to khavay j jay”. And then you decided to not putting stoploss in any trade because of your bad experience in past.

In any type of trading intraday, positional, swing the role of stoploss is very important as its unique tool for minimizing your risk while you trading. Yes it’s a tool which protect you from huge losses and keep you in market for longer time otherwise you lost your majority of the capital and when time comes for aggressive trading in market your capital evaporated.

Here the question comes to your mind that what one trader can do if such type of things happen to any trader which I already mentioned. See it’s depending on the trader which type of stoploss they are using.

There are types of stoploss as below:

1.       Technical Stoploss :  Based on proper level based on Technical Analysis

2.       Time stoploss : Based on time parameter which may differ from a single day to many days

3.       Monetary stoploss : Traders use by their conviction no technical or time factor be used

4.       Trailing stoploss: it’s been using for booking profits and for closing of open trades in profits.

Now the traders who using the monetary stoploss may facing the situation that stoploss may always trigger and you always lose money by putting stoploss while trading. This is just one belief of some traders who using monetary stoploss.

So be careful which types of stoploss you are using ?

Happy Trading

FII Data Analysis for 23- Dec

§  FIIs bought 10914 contracts of Index Future (bought 21464 long contracts and 10550 short contracts were entered) with net OI increasing by 32014 contracts at same time Nifty lost 107.6 points and closed at 6274.25 (Spot)  Vs. 6166.65 (Spot) previous close.

§  As on daily chart nifty took support at upward slopping trendline and volume seems rising suggest strong short term reversal from lower to upper side.

§  On weekly basis FIIs bought net 15199 long contracts & net 6321 short contracts were entered with net OI increased 21520 contracts.

§  Nifty spot support 6235 – 6190 And resistance 6305 – 6360  

Comex Cruide Oil Analysis

Positional-
Buy Cruide Oil CMP- 98.90 Possible TGT- 103-105 SL- 96.40 cls

Buy MCDOWELL-N

Analysis:

• ·         Mcdowell-N is facing resistance as shown by downward slopping trendline and once it breached this trendline.
• ·         Stock is retraced 50% of A to B up swing and now getting bounce back from lower levels.
• ·         Oscillators like RSI, stochastic and ADX suggest buy signal.
• ·         Stock is above its 20 days SMA, 50 days EMA, 100 days EMA & 200 days EMA suggest strong uptrend.

Strategy: - Buy & accumulate MCDOWELL-N between 2615-2640 for possible TGT- 2690- 2730 with stop below 2590 on closing basis

FII Data Analysis for 20 Dec 2013

FII Data Analysis (Contract wise Open Interest)-

§  FIIs sold 19251 contracts of Index Future (sold 32274 long contracts and 13023 short contracts were covered) with net OI decreasing by 45297 contracts at same time Nifty lost 50.50 points and closed at 6166.65 (Spot)  Vs. 6217.15 (Spot) previous close.

§  As we mention in last report nifty has very strong resistance at 6235 and market could not sustain above this and collapse today. FIIs unwind longs and also covered shorts positions suggest mix sentiment ahead.

§  Nifty spot support 6140 – 6080 And resistance 6200 – 6235 

FII Data Analysis for 18 Dec 13

FII Data Analysis (Contract wise Open Interest)-

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 17-DEC-2013
	BUY		SELL		OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES	55403	1672.11	56216	1692.17	594003	18206.89	-813
INDEX OPTIONS	254102	7731.35	283195	8645.04	1760703	53823.67	-29093
STOCK FUTURES	68824	1942.15	69274	1965.26	1167506	31962.30	-450
STOCK OPTIONS	33516	907.96	33346	906.17	54884	1460.74	170

§  FIIs sold 813 contracts of Index Future (Means 900 long contracts covered and 87 short contracts were covered) with net OI decreasing by 987 contracts at same time Nifty lost 15.65 points and closed at 6139.05 (Spot)  Vs. 6154.7 (Spot) previous close.

§  FIIs slowly creating short position on index future and unwind the long contracts, Nifty has support at 6010 - 5972 & Resistance at 6230 – 6285

§  Nifty is trading near support area and if FIIs cover its short position then & then only one bounce back (relief rally) is possible. 

FII Data Analysis for Dec 13

FII Data Analysis (Contract wise Open Interest)-

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 12-DEC-2013
	BUY		SELL		OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES	36607	1141.01	53342	1659.60	589126	18393.47	-16735
INDEX OPTIONS	372690	11566.18	359325	11179.32	1683893	52361.15	13365
STOCK FUTURES	40112	1112.97	57983	1709.04	1156136	32037.71	-17871
STOCK OPTIONS	32888	928.01	33000	922.54	48929	1328.80	-112

§  FIIs sold 16735 contracts of Index Future (sold 917 long contracts and 15818 shorts were entered)with net OI increasing by 14901 contracts at same time Nifty lost 70.85 points and closed at 6237.05 (Spot)  Vs. 6307.90 (Spot) previous close.

§  Though nifty made all time high but FII doesn’t cover their short positions & steadily creates short positions from past two to three trading sessions suggest absence of bullish strength in the market.

§  Nifty has support at 6210 - 6160 & Resistance at 6290 - 6320

§  Indian Volatility Index VIX up by 1.14% and closed at 17.74 vs. 17.54 suggest negative signal for the market. 

FII statistics & analysis as on Dec 09

FII Data Analysis (Contract wise Open Interest)-

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 09-DEC-2013
	BUY		SELL		OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores	No. of contracts	Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES	115501	3672.73	54371	1727.73	545059	17368.94	61130
INDEX OPTIONS	514879	16172.75	463099	14412.27	1724864	54751.21	51780
STOCK FUTURES	64698	1816.26	61007	1791.44	1137415	32309.80	3691
STOCK OPTIONS	31203	891.52	31078	884.87	46041	1270.03	125

§  FIIs bought 61130 contracts of Index Future (bought 67757 long contracts and 6627 shorts were entered)with net OI increasing by 74384 contracts at same time Nifty gain 104 points and closed at 6363.90 (Spot)  Vs. 6259.9 (Spot) previous close.

§  FIIs increased buying long contracts and at same time covering short contracts which suggest bullish sentiment in near coming time.

§  Nifty has good support at 6350 – 6270 – 6220. Some profit booking on counter may observe in coming time but use every dip as a buying opportunity.  

§  Indian Volatility Index VIX down by 13.73% and closed at 19.16 vs. 22.21 suggest positive signal for the market.